Coming Down to the Wire

The American presidential election is finally drawing to a close. At the moment, it is looking like the earth would have to move in order for Barack Obama to lose this election. There are only two states where his lead over John McCain is very thin: North Carolina and Florida. Obama can win without either of those state. John McCain cannot win if he does not get both. But even getting both of those would not be enough to put John McCain in the White House. He would need to take more states away from Obama, states where Obama has a much more solid lead - states like Pennsylvania and Virginia. I think this is unlikely, especially given the number of early voters.

More interesting, at this point, is the race for control of Congress. The Democrats will control both houses when the show is over, but the question is whether they will have a filibuster proof majority in the Senate. At this point, it's looking unlikely, though Minnesota is a true toss-up, and both Georgia and Texas (astonishingly) are in play as potential Democrat gains. Watch those three states on election night. If the Dems take North Carolina, those three states will tell the tale, since if all three go Democrat, they can have their filibuster proof majority without counting on Joe "Turncoat" Lieberman or moderate Republicans like Olympia Snowe of Maine. Unfortunately, this doesn't seem likely, since Georgia has been trending GOP over the last couple days.

It should be interesting, and I may live blog it happens, depending on if I'm watching at home.

Days Remaining in Bush Presidency: 78