Democracy in the Liberal Party is dead today. Bob Rae has dropped out, and Iggy will be crowned interim leader, to become permanent leader in May. He has not had to face a single vote from the membership of the Liberal Party of Canada.
Iggy is a right-winger, who believes that the invasion of Iraq was a good idea, and that torture can be justified. I have great qualms about the coalition going forward with him as leader. He is a clone of King Stephen on a lot of things, even down to the condescending attitude. The Liberals will be led by the Man Who Would Be Philosopher King. The man who sees the coalition not as a way to represent the will of 62% of Canadians but rather as a tool to extract concessions from the Conservatives.
I don't know if the coalition can go with Iggy the Hawk in charge of the Liberals.
Of course, Iggy leading the Liberal Party is in the partisan best interests of the NDP. He will draw CPC-LPC swing voters, and drive LPC-NDP swing voters to the NDP. This may help the NDP gain seats in Atlantic Canada and in Ontario. At the same time, the LPC can gain seats from the CPC in Ontario and maybe from the BQ in Quebec. It may be enough to knock King Stephen off his throne in the Dictatorial Republic of Canada.
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Polls show a Liberal party under Ignatieff receiving the support of 33% of voters, and leaving the Conservatives with 38% and the NDP 13% (the NDP were polling at 18% after the election and the Conservatives 42%). Looks like he could draw considerable support away from both parties.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.angusreidstrategies.com/polls-analysis/opinion-polls/angus-reid-poll-leadership-change-would-benefit-liberals-next-federal-e
I think the only way the NDP is going to pick up seats is if the coalition does go ahead. It will obviously fail very quickly, hurting the Liberals quite a lot. The NDP can snatch up some supporters then. Otherwise the NDP are likely going to lost support among the anti-war crowd now that Layton has signed on to the mission in Afghanistan in exchange for the coalition.
Polls show Ignatieff being bad for both the Conservatives and the NDP.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.angusreidstrategies.com/polls-analysis/opinion-polls/conservative-lead-dwindles-after-liberals-settle-new-leader
The Liberals have jumped 9 points in the polls (to 31%), taking votes from both parties, reducing the Conservatives to 37% (from 42% in the election) and the NDP to 15% (from 18% in the election).
Also interesting, preferences for Prime Minister:
Ignatieff - 28%
Harper - 27%
Layton - 10%