Iggy Takes the Lead in LPC Delegate Selection

Ignatieff seems to have won about 30% of the elected delegates, with Rae, Kennedy and Dion finishing fairly close together, but significantly behind Iggy at about 19, 17 and 16 percent respectively.

These results will be modified by some ridings in Quebec that have allowed mail-in ballots, as well as the approximately 1500 ex officio delegates are not bound to vote for a particular candidate as the elected delegates are. But these results give a fairly good idea of how the first ballot results will look.

As an NDPer, Iggy is the person I would most like to face as LPC leader. As a Canadian, the best Candidate to have as Liberal leader and likely next PM is Dion, since he seems the most left-wing with some commitment to the environment.

Stevie must be scared of running against Iggy, because Iggy will poach many of the centre-right voters from the CPC. He will also drive a number of left-leaning LPC voters to the NDP because of how far right he is. This pattern could lead to another LPC minority government, and the NDP could pick up a number of very close seats, such as Kenora, Thunder Bay - Superior North, Beaches - East York, Dartmouth - Cole Harbour, Regina - Qu'appelle, Regina - Lumsden Lake - Centre, Saskatoon - Rosetown - Biggar, Yukon and some seats in BC. Obviously this is optimistic, but it is within the realm of possibility.

We shall have to see how the voting goes, and whether an obvious Anyone-But-Iggy candidate emerges.

Cheers,

Days Remaining in Bush Presidency: 852